2019 Golden Globe predictions: Motion Picture categories

The Globes approacheth and that means we’re desperately trying to watch as many of the nominated movies as possible (is watching two at once a bad idea or a terrible idea?) and frantically filling out our prediction cards. Will Black Panther get the critical recognition it deserves? Can Emily Blunt follow in Julie Andrews' footsteps and win Best Actress for playing iconic magic nanny Mary Poppins? Will Christian Bale’s bizarre Dick Cheney transformation pay off?

All will be answered on January 6, but until then, here are our picks for the 2019 Golden Globes’ Motion Picture categories. (Get into our TV predictions here).

Best Motion Picture – Drama

The nominees:

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

If Beale Street Could Talk

A Star Is Born

Winner: Black Panther

It’s a tight, tight race for the Drama category, especially since three of the contenders tackle the nuances of race in America. Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman is an incredible true story and Beale Street explores the very terrifying reality of the biased justice system, but we’re ultimately going to have give the honour to Black PantherIt was more than a movie; it was a cultural movement and emerged as one of the most important movies of the year.

Best Actress Motion Picture – Drama

The nominees:

Glenn Close - The Wife

Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born

Nicole Kidman - Destroyer

Melissa McCarthy - Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Rosamund Pike - A Private War

Winner: Glenn Close – The Wife

Give. Glenn. Close. Her. Oscar. Glenn Close has been working toward that coveted Academy Award for pretty much her entire career and has been robbed on multiple occasions of said honour. No disrespect to Gaga (don’t @ us), but we’re saying it’s finally Glenn’s year and a crucial step to that career Oscar is this Globe. Way to go, Glenn Close-Close; you go, Glenn Close-Close.

Best Actor Motion Picture – Drama

The nominees:

Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born

Willem Dafoe - At Eternity’s Gate

Lucas Hedges - Boy Erased

Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody

John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Winner: John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Looks like John’s following in dad’s footsteps right out the gate. Denzel Washington has won three Golden Globes, including the Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2016 and it looks like his son will do the same with his first big acting role.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

The nominees:

Crazy Rich Asians

The Favourite

Green Book

Mary Poppins Returns

Vice

Winner: Green Book

While Mary Poppins Returns has some award-winning history and Crazy Rich Asians was a cultural phenomenon, Green Book has the edge on this one because it balances the intricacies of Southern American racism and humour in a way that makes you a little uncomfortable, but not a lot uncomfortable (it’s been compared to Driving Miss Daisy in that respect). There is some criticism that the movie doesn’t achieve what it sets out to (fair point) but it looks like exactly the kind of film that will bring home an award or two.

Best Actress Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

The nominees:

Emily Blunt - Mary Poppins Returns

Olivia Colman - The Favourite

Elsie Fisher - Eighth Grade

Charlize Theron - Tully

Constance Wu - Crazy Rich Asians

Winner: Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns

There’s a lot riding on Emily Blunt’s Mary Poppins. Not only is she following in the footsteps of the iconic Julie Andrews and portraying a character beloved by several generations, she’s got the added awards pressure – Julie won a Globe and an Oscar for the role. Does Emily have the chops to do the same? Yes, probably; that’s why we’re cautiously picking her for the Globe. Other serious contenders would be the much-talked-about 15-year-old Elsie Fisher and the record-breaking Constance Wu (she’s the first Asian woman to be nominated in the category in 44 years).

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

The nominees:

Christian Bale - Vice

Lin-Manuel Miranda - Mary Poppins Returns

Viggo Mortensen - Green Book

Robert Redford - The Old Man & the Gun

John C. Reilly - Stan & Ollie

Winner: Christian Bale – Vice

Come on, with that kind of physical transformation, how can we not give Bale the shout-out? He IS Dick Cheney and it’s honestly freaking us out a little. Other notable heavyweights (no pun intended) in the category are Robert Redford in possibly his final role ever and Viggo Mortensen, who also undergoes quite the transformation himsef in Green Book.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role – Motion Picture

The nominees:

Amy Adams - Vice

Claire Foy - First Man

Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk

Emma Stone - The Favourite

Rachel Weisz - The Favourite

Winner: Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

Regina King and Amy Adams are going head to head in not only this category, but also for Best TV Actress – Limited Series. While both actresses are incredible, Regina has the edge here, just based on material. Amy is great as the Lynne Cheney to Bale’s Dick in Vice but a political comedy about the corrupt inner workings of the Executive Branch is small potatoes compared to the emotional weight of a family ripped apart by an unjust and racially biased judicial system.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role – Motion Picture

The nominees:

Mahershala Ali - Green Book

Timothee Chalamet - Beautiful Boy

Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman

Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sam Rockwell – Vice

Winner: Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

In our eyes, this one is between Oscar-winner Mahershala Ali and last year's breakout star, Timothee Chalamet. Ali’s performance in Green Book is incredible, but Chalamet had to embody the slow deterioration of a promising youth who falls into drug addiction and is unable to get himself out of it or seek help in the true story. It’s a gritty role and Chalamet plays it realistically while also making the character sympathetic.

Best Motion Picture – Animated

The nominees:

Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Mirai

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Winner: Incredibles 2

What did you do to yourself here, Pixar? It’s almost always a given that a Disney/Pixar movie will win the animated movie category, but it throws us off when the company produces more than one film in a year. We’re going with Incredibles 2 as our projected winner, because the series has more gravitas and because it features an important element Hollywood is slowly realizing people want – a strong-yet-flawed female protagonist.

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language

The nominees:

Capernaum

Girl

Never Look Away

Roma

Shoplifters

Winner: Roma

Foreign Language films are the trickiest to discuss because  they don't often get much attention outside of their countries of origin, or even an international release that would afford them a large audience. This year, however, Roma broke through, not just because it was on Netflix, but because it resonated with the current political climate (even though it is set in the 1970s). There has also been major buzz around Roma director Alfonso Cuaron, who is the only Foreign Language filmmaker to also be nominated for Best Director – that in itself is a pretty big clue as to who’s leading this category.

Best Director

The nominees:

Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born

Alfonso Cuaron - Roma

Peter Farrelly - Green Book

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman

Adam McKay – Vice

Winner: Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Spike Lee’s politically charged fiction and documentaries have won fewer awards that you might have thought (this is his first ever Golden Globe nom and he’s only ever won an honorary Oscar) but we're betting this is his year for awards show acclaim. The mainstream world seems to finally be ready to accept his racial and political commentary and we’re pretty excited about it. Sorry Bradley, but we think Spike’s got this one.

Best Original Song

The nominees:

“All the Stars” - Kendrick Lamar/SZA, Black Panther

“Girl in the Movies” –Dolly Parton, Dumplin’

“Requiem For a Private War” - Annie Lennox, A Private War

“Revelation’ - Troye Sivan/Jónsi, Boy Erased

“Shallow” - Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

Winner: “Shallow” – Lady Gaga, A Star is Born

Okay, we haven’t given A Star is Born a lot of love but this is where we see it really shining – with the Gaga-penned “Shallow.” Not that she isn’t up against some stiff competition in the form of industry icons Dolly Parton and Annie Lennox as well as multiple Grammy-winner Kendrick Lamar. We’re expecting a Gaga win, but don’t be surprised if one of the other veterans on this list steals the honour right from under her monster claws.

Watch the Golden Globes January 6 on CTV.